Market hit 3080 on Tuesday.submitted by 2020sbear to u/2020sbear [link] [comments]
And has now completed the full squeeze pattern forecast around 2800.
Formed as a squeeze should. Parabolic into zig-zag spike outs. In the spike outs is the time to build positions and then add into the retrace after a drop signal.
Also had a few false starts and spike outs, which I've explained are to be expected in the strategy.
Now we're looking for the start of the first big drop to signal the run to 10,000 on the Dow.
SPX now trades marginally above the 1.61 expansion.
We see this before highs. It signalled the top in Feb. https://www.reddit.com/use2020sbeacomments/fwo5ut/it_shouldnt_work_but_over_the_last_100_years_this/
We'll have one last try at this;
During the fall I’m only going to be able to continue to provide weekly and daily trade plans if people pay for it. The reason for this is, for it to be viable for me, I’m going to have to hire people to do the leg work in managing this. I won’t have time to do it all myself. I’m charging you to cover the costs I’ll incur to give it to you.
I’ll setup a discord server with;
There are some people here to call me a scammer. I’d suggest you do not send me the $50 if you’ve not already gotten at least $50 of value out of what I’ve shared. I’m going to keep on doing the same thing. Personally, I think i should b charging over 100* what I am, but I suppose value is very subjective.
I’ll accept payments for this only via Paypal (Much easier if I end up refunding). To join this;
1 - Send $50 to PayPal email: [[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])
2 - Send payment transaction number via email to the same email address.
Links to join will be sent to you. Please allow for some time, but should usually be within a few hours.
The purpose of the payments is to cover costs of me paying someone who've I trained to post alerts and answer questions in time I am not available. At this point not enough people joined to cover this. I'll give it until Monday. If enough people have not joined I'll close this offer. Run it for the people there until the end of the month and then mass refund everyone and close it fully. I don't have time to do it all.
A double top is possible tomorrow, but the market has now reached the full extension of where a bull trap / short squeeze should complete. I'm selling large positions 3110.
If the market is not falling within 4 trading days from now it will annul my bearish trade plan. It would trigger a system stop loss, which would mean I'm entirely finished with shorts on the market. This is the last point at which it should work, and if it doesn't work this time - it has not worked. I was wrong and this method can not be used in modern day crashes (Or I misread the setups).
I've published already a lot of detailed trade plans and strategy blueprints for how to do this. If the market starts to fall I will be almost entirely silent here in the coming weeks. I only have time to talk whist it's not happening. If it's not falling next week I'll explain the reasons I've stopped following the plan and what I learned from it not working (For those interested in such things).
Part Onesubmitted by whatthefx to Forex [link] [comments]
I made some tweaks and further improvements to the filters to determine the ideal times to look for positions. These produced parabolic results.
I know a lot of systems pick up false breakouts, and quick corrections against them take out the stops. So I am interested in finding areas where people join the trend at the wrong time. Similarly I know there is a tendency for them to try to re-join the trend too early. Then think the market is reversing just before it enters into the real trend move. I am looking for ways to make full benefit of these. From the short side point of view, these are the best trades for the master accounts to take. They produce good risk:reward trades with an expected profitable win rate (in my analysis).
The retracement ones are easier to pinpoint. When people sell too early in corrections they are usually doing it based on price action and confirmation patterns. These usually come from the 50% fib area. So when people start to load into positions after a bounce from the 50% fib with targets for a new breakout and stops in the 60% area, these are great trades to take the other side of. A lot of the time these trades are spiked out. From the 61.8% fib level there is a higher chance of the trend continuing. Here there's usually price action that will scare short term traders out of their trend trades and make them reverse on the market. Reversing on a trending market at the 61.8% fib using the common rules for taking profit and stopping loss is a bad bet. I'm more than willing to bet someone doing that a lot will lose money.
I know there are people who think fibs are useless. I'm not here to debate with you, I am just telling you tweaks I have made and my rational for them.
I also know a lot of short term traders give away their money with the "1,000 small cuts" style when the market uses irregular ranges. Irregular ranges tend to form after there has been a strong breakout move. Price holds itself between certain levels and makes a lot of false breakout sort of moves in that range. I know these are hard areas to trade if you're looking at what is happening now, rather than pre-prepare for how to trade these. So when we enter conditions like that I want to do two things. One, I want to get into trades on the short term small chart false breakouts. These will usually whipsaw people trading them unknowing of the broader market context. Secondly, I expect when there's been a strong breakout and price forming irregular ranges (to explain this next, I just means it's not a nice zig zag range that is predictable) to see there being another breakout of this level.
A lot of strategies lose in this period (even many winning ones). In this irregular range they pick up reversal positions and stops losses go where the market would make a new breakout. So when we're in an up-trend and there is this sort of action, I'm interested in accumulating buys at the bottom of the range. To put it another way, those who get into false reversals at bad times. When strategies collect these in the ranging periods with their stops at the breakout level, I'm more willing to accept more positions against this.
See real time build up of positions on AUDUSD. You can also see in this how I've profited from the false breakouts in this pattern (green lines are profitable trades)
Update after AUDUSD swings completed. https://www.reddit.com/Forex/comments/cks8q1/shorting_noobs_problems_proofs_and_fine_tuning/
For more detailed views of the results here are some breakdowns of the overview (which is posted near the top)
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